Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.179058 0.207430 0.238832 0.276168 0.319357 0.367761 0.426150
2025-08-10 0.131571 0.168587 0.213816 0.273160 0.349029 0.442864 0.567904
2025-08-17 0.103694 0.142422 0.193076 0.264210 0.361644 0.490625 0.674729
2025-08-24 0.089746 0.130464 0.186766 0.270352 0.391483 0.561000 0.816974
2025-08-31 0.077930 0.118994 0.178578 0.271399 0.412655 0.620091 0.948998
2025-09-07 0.069384 0.110706 0.173302 0.275111 0.436970 0.685134 1.096207
2025-09-14 0.060402 0.100318 0.163206 0.269592 0.445616 0.726326 1.210256
2025-09-21 0.053679 0.092524 0.155992 0.267344 0.458528 0.774734 1.340420
2025-09-28 0.048901 0.087271 0.152131 0.269877 0.479164 0.837333 1.500712
2025-10-05 0.046604 0.085946 0.154624 0.283387 0.519872 0.937856 1.737844
2025-10-12 0.043866 0.083455 0.154702 0.292432 0.553360 1.028878 1.967762
2025-10-19 0.041156 0.080657 0.153840 0.299499 0.583741 1.117084 2.201889
2025-10-26 0.037957 0.076626 0.150378 0.301511 0.605294 1.192175 2.421872
2025-11-02 0.034436 0.071552 0.144368 0.297879 0.615457 1.246656 2.608033
2025-11-09 0.030692 0.065562 0.135850 0.288124 0.611976 1.273426 2.740241
2025-11-16 0.029014 0.063661 0.135354 0.294823 0.643182 1.373717 3.037935
2025-11-23 0.026983 0.060755 0.132429 0.295966 0.662564 1.451185 3.295039
2025-11-30 0.025402 0.058644 0.130940 0.300015 0.688627 1.545479 3.599934
2025-12-07 0.023173 0.054808 0.125258 0.293994 0.691336 1.588600 3.793043
2025-12-14 0.021433 0.051901 0.121335 0.291543 0.701913 1.650382 4.036611
2025-12-21 0.020214 0.050088 0.119715 0.294306 0.725036 1.743393 4.365507
2025-12-28 0.019860 0.050329 0.122924 0.309042 0.778671 1.913923 4.904141
2026-01-04 0.019207 0.049753 0.124108 0.318908 0.821356 2.062520 5.404890